Prediction of optimal debulking surgery in ovarian cancer
Introduction
Advanced ovarian cancer is the second most common female genital malignancy globally, with a 5-year survival rate ranging from 30% to 50% (1). Primary debulking surgery (PDS) and taxane-platinum combination chemotherapy are standard methods of management of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) (2,3). Many studies have reported that the significant prognostic factor for survival is the size of postoperative residual disease (4-6). Generally, optimal cytoreduction has been defined as the largest diameter of residual disease of less than 1 cm (3). Currently, no macroscopic residual disease (R0 resection) has incremental benefits over residual disease under 1 cm (7). Suboptimal surgery has a negative effect on survival, so treatment strategies to avoid unnecessary surgery should be considered (2,8). If complete cytoreduction is considered impossible or has unacceptable preoperative morbidity, neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) followed by interval debulking surgery (IDS) could be an alternative option according to the results of two landmark phase III clinical trials [European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) 55971 and primary chemotherapy versus primary surgery for newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer (CHORUS) trial] (9,10). If optimal debulking is predicted, PDS should be performed preferentially, but with the probability of sub-optimal debulking, NACT and IDS should be considered (11). Therefore, prediction of patients who are not feasible to achieve optimal debulking is important. Many investigations have been conducted to identify factors that most accurately predict patients who will be good candidates for optimal cytoreduction after PDS. However, there are no accurate and broadly used indications for NACT (12,13). Tumor markers, hematologic indicator, radiologic images, and diagnostic laparoscopy have been applied to predict optimal debulking surgery in various studies. In some studies, high levels of tumor markers such as human epididymis 4 (HE4) and cancer antigen 125 (CA125) have been used as predictors of suboptimal debulking surgery (12,14,15). In several studies, large amount of ascites, liver parenchymal metastases, suprarenal lymphadenopathy, porta hepatis metastases, involvement of the mesentery root of the small bowel, lesser sac involvement, and diaphragmatic disease on computed tomography (CT) scan findings were reported as predictors for suboptimal debulking (3,16,17). Diagnostic laparoscopy might be useful for the direct visualization of tumor extension and more precise prediction of tumor resectability (8,18,19). However, there is no consensus on accurate prediction for optimal debulking surgery in patients with ovarian cancer. Here, we present a review of studies dealing with the various criteria used to evaluate optimal debulking in advanced EOC.
Tumor marker and hematologic parameters
CA125 and HE4
One of the most studied markers used in the prediction of optimal debulking in advanced ovarian cancer is CA125. Suidan et al. reported CA125 of at least 600 U/mL as a predictive marker for suboptimal residual disease (>1 cm residual) after PDS in multicenter, nonrandomized trial (16). Furthermore, a retrospective study identified that 90% reduction in preoperative CA125 level was associated with complete IDS after NACT (20). In a recent meta-analysis, the researchers made efforts to elucidate CA125 cut-off levels as a predictor of optimal debulking after PDS by integrating 14 studies with 2,192 patients. Results of preoperative serum CA125 for predicting optimal cytoreduction in advanced ovarian cancer is a low positive and high negative likelihood ratio, respectively. However, a preoperative serum CA125 level over 500 U/mL was significantly associated with suboptimal cytoreduction [odds ratio, 3.69; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.02–6.73] (14). HE4 is another useful biomarker that has been studied to predict optimal debulking in advanced ovarian cancer. A meta-analysis by Pergialiotis et al. reported that the pooled sensitivity and specificity of HE4 for the anticipation of optimal debulking were 0.81 (95% CI, 0.74–0.86) and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.75–0.84), respectively. They also showed promising results that the diagnostic odds ratio was 13.88 (95% CI, 7.18–26.84) and area under the curve was 0.86±0.03 (21).
Hematologic predictor
Recently, lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR) was identified as a possible prognosticator for advanced ovarian cancer among hematologic inflammatory markers. Although mechanisms underlying the relationship between higher LMR and optimal cytoreduction have not been fully explained, some suggestions can be derived by considering the nature of these inflammatory cells. The role of lymphocytes is to fight against cancer cells. Monocytes increase as tumor burden grows in advanced ovarian cancer (22). Eo et al. published that higher LMR was found to be the strongest predictors for optimal cytoreduction (P=0.0015) in 154 patients with stage III–IV advanced ovarian cancer (15). However, there was no consensus on the cut-off values, and prospective use of these markers for optimal debulking cytoreduction in advanced ovarian cancer is under investigation. Furthermore, factors of performance and nutritional status, such as age, race, smoking status, creatinine, and albumin levels, have also been elucidated with respect to patient selection for NACT and IDS, taking into account the postoperative morbidity (23,24).
Preoperative images
CT
Preoperative imaging such as CT can provide crucial information about the location and extent of tumor. Gynecologic oncologist may predict optimal debulking with this information. Many investigators have studied the predicting capability for optimal debulking before PDS in patients with advanced ovarian cancer. Image-based models for the prediction of optimal debulking are summarized in Table 1. Bristow et al. reported that peritoneal thickening or implants (≥2 cm); involvement of the spleen, stomach, or lesser sac; bowel mesenteric extension (≥2 cm); suprarenal paraaortic lymph nodes enlargement (≥1 cm); and pelvic sidewall involvement and/or hydroureter were the most important predictive factors for suboptimal debulking. They proposed a unique predictive index score (PIS), which is figured by above-mentioned factors. Over PIS 4 had the highest overall accuracy at 92.7% and identified patients undergoing suboptimal debulking with a sensitivity of 100% (21/21). The specificity, or capability to identify patients undergoing optimal debulking, was 85.0% (17/20). The positive predictive values (PPVs) and negative predictive values (NPVs) of a PIS ≥4 were 87.5% (21/24) and 100%, respectively (25). In multivariate analysis by Janco et al., no ascites, omental involvement, and diffuse peritoneal thickening on CT were independently associated with optimal debulking. They also developed nomogram as a predictive model by combining age and performance status. For instance, if a 50-year old patient presents with ascites and diffuse peritoneal thickening on preoperative CT, the predicted probability of complete cytoreduction is approximately 27%, with a sensitivity and specificity of 84% and 43%, respectively (17). However, a systematic review to evaluate CT-based prediction models for optimal debulking in advanced ovarian cancer concluded that there are few studies externally validated with a high predictive value (11).
Full table
Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)
Generally, diagnostic imaging is predominantly based on CT before surgery in advanced ovarian cancer. Unfortunately, this preoperative evaluation is incomplete as small tumor deposits can be missed and distinguishing malignant from benign tissue can be difficult. MRI has good image contrast of soft tissue and shows a detailed view of the structures and its position toward the surrounding tissue. Forstner et al. reported that the sensitivity and specificity of conventional MRI in predicting suboptimal debulking were 0.91 (95% CI, 0.59–1.0) and 0.97 (95% CI, 0.87–1.0), respectively. On the other hand, the sensitivity and specificity of CT for predicting suboptimal debulking were 0.50 (95% CI, 0.12–0.88) and 1.0 (95% CI, 0.91–1.0), respectively (26). A retrospective analysis by Espada et al. published that diffusion-weighted MRI (DW-MRI) precisely predicts optimal debulking in 91% of patients (31/34) using predictive score >6 (27). The authors asserted the superiority of DW-MRI over CT due to better contrast resolution resulting in improved detection of sites that are critical for surgery, such as intestinal serosal metastases, central mesenteric vessel metastases, and unresectable distant metastases. Michielsen et al. made a comparison between DW-MRI and CT for their diagnostic accuracy. PDS was performed in 44 of 94 patients, and suboptimal debulking (≥1 cm) was performed in 39 women (89%). In this analysis, the sensitivity and specificity for predicting suboptimal debulking (with residual disease of any size) of DW-MRI were 0.94 (95% CI, 0.83–0.99) and 0.98 (95% CI, 0.88–1.00), respectively. For CT, the sensitivity and specificity for predicting suboptimal debulking were 0.66 (95% CI, 0.52–0.78) and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.63–0.87), respectively (28).
Positron emission tomography (PET)/CT
PET/CT detects enhanced glucose metabolism of cancer cells, so it suggests valuable information on tumor extension, especially useful for the identification of distant metastases. A prospective study used a prediction model including five PET/CT features and a surgical aggressiveness index to predict suboptimal debulking with residual disease of any size in 343 women with advanced ovarian cancer (29). The authors identified several PET/CT factors that were independently associated with suboptimal debulking, such as diaphragmatic disease and small bowel mesentery metastases. The sensitivity and specificity of PET/CT for suboptimal debulking (with residual disease of any size) were 0.66 (95% CI, 0.60–0.73) and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.80–0.93), respectively. Alessi et al. reported that the sensitivity and specificity of PET/CT for evaluating incomplete debulking (with residual disease of any size) were 1.00 (95% CI, 0.54–1.00) and 1.00 (95% CI, 0.80–1.00) (30).
Combination preoperative image with tumor marker
A prospective trial of preoperative CT in combination with serum CA125 by Suidan et al. was conducted to calculate the rates of suboptimal PDS (≥1 cm residual disease) in patients with advanced ovarian cancer. Of 350 patients, 261 had optimal debulking and the remaining 89 had suboptimal debulking (31). The following criteria were independently associated with suboptimal debulking: age ≥60 years, CA125 level ≥500 U/mL, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA) score 3 or 4, suprarenal lymphadenopathy (incorporating cardiophrenic) >1 cm, diffuse small bowel adhesions/thickening, spleen lesion >1 cm, small bowel mesentery extension >1 cm, involvement in the root of the superior mesenteric artery >1 cm, and lesser sac metastasis >1 cm. In a retrospective study of 129 patients with advanced ovarian cancer, Arab et al. demonstrated that serum CA125 >420 U/mL, massive ascites, and liver metastasis are powerful predictive factors for suboptimal debulking in PDS (32).
Diagnostic laparoscopy
The rationale for a laparoscopic evaluation before PDS includes (I) this surgical concept could avoid a useless laparotomy, which has no survival benefits due to suboptimal debulking; (II) patients not considered for optimal debulking could proceed immediately to NACT; and (III) pathologic diagnosis and molecular profiling are possible. A study performed by Fagotti et al., in which clinic-radiological factors were collected preoperatively and all patients were submitted to both laparoscopy and laparotomy sequentially (33), assessed items during laparoscopy including the bilaterality of ovarian masses, peritoneal and diaphragmatic carcinomatosis, omental cake or nodules, mesenteric retraction, bowel and stomach extension, liver involvements, and bulky lymph node enlargement. After completing laparoscopy, the surgeon stated the probability that optimal debulking was possible was based on the absence of the conventional criteria of unresectability, which were extensive bulky peritoneal carcinomatosis, porta hepatis involvement, retraction of the bowel mesentery, diaphragm bulky disease, and/or unresectable upper abdominal disease (34). Optimal debulking was completed in 87% of patients (34/39) who had favorable laparoscopic findings. They showed that the overall accuracy rate of laparoscopy was 90% for predicting optimal debulking. The NPVs of clinico-radiological evaluation and laparoscopy were 73% and 100%, respectively, and the PPVs were both 87%. Based on the above study, Fagotti et al. extended their laparoscopic evaluation trial (18) and showed prospective data of 113 patients who underwent laparoscopy. They used the predictive index value (PIV) score for investigating the probability of optimal debulking. The individual items were added up to obtain an overall score (33). The overall accuracy of the laparoscopy-based score ranged from 77% to 100% in predicting optimal debulking. The results confirmed that at a PIV of ≥8, the probability of debulking optimally (residual tumor ≤1 cm) at laparotomy was 0. The role of diagnostic laparoscopy in predicting for R0 resection in advanced ovarian cancer was also evaluated by other researcher (35). In this study, diagnostic laparoscopy was performed in 87 patients. Candidates for R0 resection were 61% (53/87 patients) and, therefore, they performed PDS. The optimal debulking rate in this group was 96%. There were no major perioperative morbidity and mortality related to laparoscopy. Brun et al. conducted the external validation of using the Fagotti criteria in a cohort of 55 patients with stage III–IV ovarian cancer (36). Of the 55 patients, 26 underwent primary PDS after diagnostic laparoscopy, and the remaining 29 were treated with NACT. A PIV of ≥8 was associated with suboptimal cytoreduction. The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy values were 46%, 89%, 89%, 44%, and 60%, respectively. The Fagotti group prospectively evaluated the learning curve for determining the PIV. This study revealed laparoscopic-based scores of gynecologic oncologic fellows with at least 12 months experience similar to those of senior surgeons (37). Another group in Dutch published the laparoscopy to predict the result of primary cytoreductive surgery in advanced ovarian cancer patients (LAPOVCA) randomized clinical trial (38). They used the following criteria for prediction of suboptimal cytoreduction: extensive agglutinated intra-abdominal metastatic disease (including spleen or retrohepatic area involvement), extensive serosa invasion of the bowel and/or mesenteric involvement (the possibility of multiple bowel resections), and extensive (unresectable) peritoneal carcinomatosis at the subdiaphragm. Using these laparoscopic finding, futile laparotomy so called “suboptimal cytoreduction” appeared in 10% (10/102 patients) in the laparoscopy group versus 39% (39/99 patients) in the primary surgery group (relative risk, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.13–0.47; P<0.001). Diagnostic laparoscopy before surgery decreases the number of futile laparotomies in patients with advanced ovarian cancer. The accuracy of diagnostic laparoscopy for predicting optimal debulking in patients with advanced ovarian cancer was evaluated in a recent Cochrane Review. The authors concluded that laparoscopy might be a useful diagnostic tool for predicting the residual disease after PDS. Therefore, the selection of women who would benefit from PDS may be possible. However, due to the large heterogeneity of the included studies, careful interpretation of the study result is crucial (39). The laparoscopic criteria for the prediction of optimal debulking are summarized in Table 2.
Full table
Conclusions
Basic treatment of patients with EOC is optimal cytoreduction with acceptable morbidity followed by platinum- and taxane-based chemotherapy. NACT may decrease the morbidity at the time of IDS; however, it does not improve survival. So, prediction for optimal cytoreduction is very important for not performing futile surgery. We reviewed that preoperative serum levels of CA125 and HE4 are useful biomarkers for optimal cytoreduction and another hematologic marker using lymphocyte-monocyte is being investigated. Imaging studies using CT, DW-MRI, and PET/CT are also valuable for the preoperative evaluation of optimal debulking. However, that these factors were investigated in a retrospective manner is a limitation. There has been no prospective study yet, and there is no competent method for predicting optimal cytoreduction. Large-scale randomized clinical trials of laparoscopic evaluation using the scoring system showed that it may be a useful tool. Therefore, an effort should be made to select patients with optimal cytoreduction prognoses using multiple methods, such as serum biomarkers, imaging studies, and diagnostic laparoscopy, and having discussions with multidisciplinary team to yield more results from large clinical trials.
Acknowledgments
Funding: This study was supported by a 2020 research grant from Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital.
Footnote
Provenance and Peer Review: This article was commissioned by the Guest Editors (Sang Yoon Park, Jae Weon Kim) for the series “Ultra-Radical Surgery in Ovarian Cancer: Surgical Techniques for Gynecologic Oncologist” published in Gland Surgery. The article was sent for external peer review organized by the Guest Editors and the editorial office.
Conflicts of Interest: The author has completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at http://dx.doi.org/10.21037/gs-2019-ursoc-08). The series “Ultra-Radical Surgery in Ovarian Cancer: Surgical Techniques for Gynecologic Oncologist” was commissioned by the editorial office without any funding or sponsorship. The author has no other conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The author is accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved.
Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
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