Personalized survival prediction in young Asian American breast cancer
Highlight box
Key findings
• We developed and validated a comprehensive nomogram incorporating T stage, N stage, molecular subtype, and surgical approach, demonstrating superior predictive capability for overall survival in young Asian American breast cancer patients compared to the traditional TNM staging system.
What is known and what is new?
• Known: Young Asian American women face unique breast cancer prognostic challenges, yet population-specific predictive tools are lacking.
• New: This study provides a novel, internally validated prognostic nomogram that accurately predicts 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival, highlighting the distinct prognostic impacts of tumor burden and molecular subtypes in this demographic.
What is the implication, and what should change now?
• This tool serves as a practical resource for clinical risk stratification, enabling oncologists to optimize personalized treatment planning and follow-up strategies for this unique patient population.
Introduction
Breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed malignancy among women worldwide and remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality (1). While the incidence of breast cancer increases with age, young women diagnosed with breast cancer often face unique clinical challenges compared to their older counterparts (2,3). Specifically, young breast cancer patients are more likely to present with aggressive tumor subtypes, including triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) positive disease, both of which are associated with poorer prognoses (4). Additionally, treatment decisions in young patients must account for factors such as fertility preservation, long-term endocrine therapy adherence, and the psychosocial impact of the disease.
Asian American women represent a rapidly growing United States (US) demographic with concerning breast cancer trends. Recent data show that young Asian American women’s breast cancer incidence has risen to match that of White women (5). Since 2000, breast cancer incidence in Asian American and Pacific Islander women under 50 has increased by 50%, with an annual growth rate exceeding 2% since 2012 (6). This trend likely stems from westernized lifestyle changes, delayed childbearing, dietary shifts, and increased screening (7). Asian American women’s higher breast density further complicates early detection while increasing cancer risk (8). Immigration status significantly impacts risk, with immigrant Asian women facing nearly double the risk compared to US-born counterparts due to lifestyle and environmental changes (9). Moreover, dietary patterns, such as high soy intake and lower consumption of red meat and refined carbohydrates, have been suggested as potential protective factors, though further research is needed to confirm these associations (10). Significant heterogeneity exists among Asian subgroups, with Korean, Chinese, Filipino, and South Asian American women showing higher incidence rates. Filipino and Pacific Islander women face 30% higher mortality rates than White women, highlighting the need for targeted interventions (11).
Despite these unique epidemiological characteristics, there remains a significant gap in prognostic models specifically tailored to young Asian American breast cancer patients. Traditional staging systems, such as the traditional tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification, provide general prognostic information but do not fully capture the heterogeneity of tumor biology and patient-specific factors in this population (12). Advances in breast cancer research have led to improved targeted therapies, novel imaging techniques, and enhanced prevention strategies, yet the representation of Asian American women in clinical research remains disproportionately low (13,14). Given the rising incidence and unique risk factors in this population, it is imperative to develop more precise prognostic tools to improve survival prediction and guide personalized treatment approaches.
To address this gap, we aimed to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram specifically designed for young Asian American breast cancer patients. By leveraging data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we identified independent prognostic factors and constructed a predictive model that estimates overall survival (OS) at 1, 3, and 5 years. This study seeks to provide a clinically applicable tool to aid personalized risk stratification and optimize treatment planning for this unique and historically underserved patient population. We present this article in accordance with the TRIPOD reporting checklist (available at https://gs.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/gs-2026-1-0083/rc).
Methods
Patients
This retrospective cohort study utilized data from the SEER database, which covers approximately 35% of the US population (15). We analyzed data from 17 SEER registries for the period 2000–2021, accessed through the SEER*Stat Database. The initial study population comprised 109,317 Asian or Pacific Islander breast cancer cases diagnosed between 2000 and 2021. We excluded patients with multiple primary malignancies (n=27,886), those aged over 40 years or with unknown age (n=35,100), and male patients (n=365). Further exclusions were made for cases with unknown marital status (n=3,344), unknown household income (n=1), and unknown tumor grade (n=9,042). Cases identified solely through death certificates or autopsy (n=87), those with unknown breast cancer subtype (n=25,187), incomplete staging information (M1/MX, T0/TX, NX) (n=2,884), and cases without standard surgical treatment [breast-conserving surgery (BCS) or mastectomy] (n=1,737) were also excluded. Additionally, we removed cases with survival time less than 1 month or unknown survival status (n=512). After applying all inclusion and exclusion criteria, our final analytical cohort consisted of 3,172 patients (Figure S1 and Table 1).
Table 1
| Characteristics | All (n=3,172) | Training (n=2,224) | Validation (n=948) | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade | 0.15 | |||
| Grade I | 379 (11.9) | 259 (11.6) | 120 (12.7) | |
| Grade II | 1,341 (42.3) | 922 (41.5) | 419 (44.2) | |
| Grade III | 1,452 (45.8) | 1,043 (46.9) | 409 (43.1) | |
| Marital status | 0.99 | |||
| Married | 2,217 (69.9) | 1,556 (70.0) | 661 (69.7) | |
| DSW | 137 (4.32) | 96 (4.32) | 41 (4.32) | |
| Unmarried | 818 (25.8) | 572 (25.7) | 246 (25.9) | |
| Income† | 0.38 | |||
| ≤$49,999 | 17 (0.54) | 14 (0.63) | 3 (0.32) | |
| $50,000–69,999 | 326 (10.3) | 235 (10.6) | 91 (9.60) | |
| ≥$70,000 | 2,829 (89.2) | 1,975 (88.8) | 854 (90.1) | |
| Stage | 0.56 | |||
| I | 1,445 (45.6) | 1,005 (45.2) | 440 (46.4) | |
| II | 1,279 (40.3) | 910 (40.9) | 369 (38.9) | |
| III | 448 (14.1) | 309 (13.9) | 139 (14.7) | |
| T stage | 0.41 | |||
| T1 | 1,376 (43.4) | 972 (43.7) | 404 (42.6) | |
| T2 | 1,437 (45.3) | 1,002 (45.1) | 435 (45.9) | |
| T3 | 306 (9.65) | 218 (9.80) | 88 (9.28) | |
| T4 | 53 (1.67) | 32 (1.44) | 21 (2.22) | |
| N stage | 0.72 | |||
| N0 | 1,888 (59.5) | 1,329 (59.8) | 559 (59.0) | |
| N1 | 966 (30.5) | 677 (30.4) | 289 (30.5) | |
| N2 | 224 (7.06) | 150 (6.74) | 74 (7.81) | |
| N3 | 94 (2.96) | 68 (3.06) | 26 (2.74) | |
| Subtype | 0.13 | |||
| HR+/HER2− | 2,152 (67.8) | 1,486 (66.8) | 666 (70.3) | |
| HR−/HER2− | 337 (10.6) | 249 (11.2) | 88 (9.28) | |
| HR−/HER2+ | 175 (5.52) | 119 (5.35) | 56 (5.91) | |
| HR+/HER2+ | 508 (16.0) | 370 (16.6) | 138 (14.6) | |
| Surgery | 0.73 | |||
| BCS | 1,145 (36.1) | 798 (35.9) | 347 (36.6) | |
| Mastectomy | 2,027 (63.9) | 1,426 (64.1) | 601 (63.4) | |
| Radiation | 0.28 | |||
| None/unknown | 1,470 (46.3) | 1,045 (47.0) | 425 (44.8) | |
| Yes | 1,702 (53.7) | 1,179 (53.0) | 523 (55.2) | |
| Chemotherapy | 0.80 | |||
| No/unknown | 1,032 (32.5) | 720 (32.4) | 312 (32.9) | |
| Yes | 2,140 (67.5) | 1,504 (67.6) | 636 (67.1) |
†, county-level median household income. BCS, breast-conserving surgery; DSW, divorced/separated/widowed; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; HR, hormone receptor; N, node; T, tumor.
This study used de-identified data from the SEER public database and was exempt from institutional review board approval. All data were accessed and analyzed in accordance with SEER data use agreements. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments.
Data collection and follow-up
For the analysis, marital status was categorized into three groups: married, divorced/separated/widowed (DSW), and unmarried. The household income variable, representing county-level annual median income rather than individual data, was stratified into three levels: low (≤$49,999), medium ($50,000–69,999), and high (≥$70,000). Demographic variables included age at diagnosis (analyzed as a continuous variable), marital status, and income level (categorized based on the median household income of the patient’s county of residence). Tumor characteristics included T stage (T1, T2, T3, T4), N stage (N0, N1, N2, N3), and M stage (M0, M1) according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th edition staging system. Molecular subtypes were classified based on hormone receptor (HR) and HER2 status into four categories: HR+/HER2−, HR+/HER2+, HR−/HER2+, and HR−/HER2− (TNBC). HR positivity was defined as estrogen receptor (ER) and/or progesterone receptor (PR) positivity. Treatment variables included surgical approach (BCS, mastectomy), radiotherapy (yes, no), and chemotherapy (yes, no).
Statistical analysis
The total study population (n=3,172) was randomly divided into a training cohort (n=2,224, 70%) and a validation cohort (n=948, 30%) using a computer-generated randomization sequence. Baseline characteristics between cohorts were compared using chi-square tests for categorical variables and t-tests for continuous variables, with Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank tests used to compare survival distributions. The primary outcome was OS, defined as the time from diagnosis to death from any cause or the last follow-up date (December 31, 2021). Patients alive at the last follow-up were censored. Univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to identify potential prognostic factors associated with OS. Variables with P<0.05 in univariate analysis were included in the multivariate Cox regression model to identify independent prognostic factors. The proportional hazards assumption was verified using Schoenfeld residuals. A prognostic nomogram was constructed based on independent factors identified in multivariate Cox regression analysis, with each variable assigned a score based on its regression coefficient to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS probabilities. The nomogram’s predictive performance was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index) for discrimination, calibration plots to assess agreement between predicted and observed survival probabilities, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (tROC) analysis for discriminative ability at different time points, and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate clinical utility. To assess the potential for model overfitting, the events-per-variable (EPV) ratio was evaluated, with a widely accepted minimum safety threshold of 10. Internal validation was performed using bootstrap resampling with 1,000 replicates to assess potential overfitting and calculate an optimism-corrected C-index, while split-sample validation was conducted by applying the nomogram to the internal validation cohort. The nomogram’s performance was compared with the TNM staging system using C-index, tROC analysis, and DCA. All statistical analyses were performed using R software version 4.0.3 with the “rms”, “survival”, “timeROC”, and “rmda” packages, with two-sided P values <0.05 considered statistically significant.
Results
Patient characteristics
Among the initial cohort of 109,317 patients, the missing rates were as follows: molecular subtype 23.0%, tumor grade 8.3%, marital status 3.1%, tumor stage 2.6%, and age and county-level income both <0.1%. A total of 3,172 eligible young Asian American breast cancer patients were included in the study, randomly divided into training (n=2,224) and validation (n=948) cohorts. Baseline characteristics, including demographic factors (marital status, income) and clinical variables (tumor grade, tumor stage, molecular subtype, surgical approach, treatment modalities), showed no significant differences between cohorts (Table 1), minimizing selection bias.
Prognostic factors influencing OS in young Asian American breast cancer patients
Median OS was 66 months (IQR, 35–101 months), with 151 deaths recorded. The 1-, 3-, and 5- OS rates were 99.8%, 97.6%, and 94.5%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated comparable survival probabilities between cohorts, confirming model generalizability [hazard ratio =0.896; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.662–1.213; P=0.48; Figure 1].
Univariate and multivariate analyses of OS
In the univariate analysis, eight variables demonstrated a significant association with OS: tumor grade, tumor stage, T stage, N stage, molecular subtype, surgical approach, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy (Table 2). To prevent potential multicollinearity, the overall tumor stage was excluded from further analysis. Subsequently, the remaining seven significant factors, along with marital status, were incorporated into the multivariable Cox regression model. After adjusting for confounding effects, four variables—T stage, N stage, molecular subtype, and surgical approach—emerged as independent prognostic factors for OS.
Table 2
| Characteristics | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hazard ratio (95% CI) | P | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | P | ||
| Grade | |||||
| Grade I | 1 | 1 | |||
| Grade II | 1.553 (0.730–3.303) | 0.25 | 1.272 (0.593–2.731) | 0.54 | |
| Grade III | 2.810 (1.368–5.774) | 0.005 | 1.697 (0.798–3.612) | 0.17 | |
| Marital status | |||||
| Married | 1 | 1 | |||
| DSW | 1.627 (0.873–3.030) | 0.13 | 1.678 (0.894–3.152) | 0.11 | |
| Unmarried | 1.058 (0.727–1.541) | 0.77 | 1.119 (0.766–1.634) | 0.56 | |
| Income† | |||||
| ≤$49,999 | 1 | ||||
| $50,000–$69,999 | 1.371 (0.186–10.095) | 0.76 | |||
| ≥$70,000 | 0.944 (0.132–6.757) | 0.95 | |||
| Stage | |||||
| I | 1 | ||||
| II | 2.547 (1.527–4.249) | <0.001 | |||
| III | 8.057 (4.839–13.414) | <0.001 | |||
| T stage | |||||
| T1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| T2 | 2.404 (1.564–3.693) | <0.001 | 1.778 (1.133–2.790) | 0.01 | |
| T3 | 5.413 (3.329–8.802) | <0.001 | 2.508 (1.459–4.312) | 0.001 | |
| T4 | 9.864 (4.927–19.751) | <0.001 | 3.946 (1.786–8.715) | 0.001 | |
| N stage | |||||
| N0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| N1 | 2.394 (1.611–3.556) | <0.001 | 1.878 (1.209–2.916) | 0.005 | |
| N2 | 6.864 (4.393–10.725) | <0.001 | 4.968(2.944–8.383) | <0.001 | |
| N3 | 6.768 (3.811–12.071) | <0.001 | 3.401 (1.723–6.712) | <0.001 | |
| Subtype | |||||
| HR+/HER2− | 1 | 1 | |||
| HR−/HER2− | 2.431 (1.629–3.629) | <0.001 | 2.640 (1.697–4.105) | <0.001 | |
| HR−/HER2+ | 1.718 (0.934–3.158) | 0.08 | 1.285 (0.689–2.395) | 0.43 | |
| HR+/HER2+ | 1.333 (0.864–2.506) | 0.19 | 1.264 (0.805–1.986) | 0.31 | |
| Surgery | |||||
| BCS | 1 | 1 | |||
| Mastectomy | 2.189 (1.467–3.264) | <0.001 | 1.794 (1.147–2.808) | 0.01 | |
| Radiation | |||||
| None/unknown | 1 | 1 | |||
| Yes | 1.552 (1.114–2.162) | 0.009 | 1.216 (0.824–1.797) | 0.33 | |
| Chemotherapy | |||||
| No/unknown | 1 | 1 | |||
| Yes | 1.946 (1.258–3.012) | 0.003 | 0.642 (0.388–1.062) | 0.08 | |
Hazard ratios estimated by Cox proportional hazards regression. All statistical tests were two-sided. †, county-level median household income. BCS, breast-conserving surgery; CI, confidence interval; DSW, divorced/separated/widowed; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; HR, hormone receptor; N, node; OS, overall survival; T, tumor.
Development of the integrated prognostic model
We developed a prognostic nomogram incorporating T stage, N stage, molecular subtype, and surgical approach to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS for young Asian American breast cancer patients (Figure 2). The full specifications of the final multivariate Cox model, including the regression coefficients and standard errors, are detailed in Table S1. Additionally, the 1- to 5-year baseline survival estimates for both cohorts are provided in Table S2.
Assessment of predictive performance of the prognostic model
The prognostic model displayed moderate discriminative performance, achieving a C-index of 0.759 (95% CI: 0.719–0.799) in the training group and 0.763 (95% CI: 0.698–0.827) in the validation group. Comparatively, the traditional staging system showed lower C-index values of 0.736 (95% CI: 0.678–0.793) and 0.726 (95% CI: 0.631–0.821) for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Compared to traditional TNM staging, our nomogram demonstrated a modest yet clinically meaningful improvement in predictive accuracy. Furthermore, we rigorously assessed the potential for model overfitting. Given that a total of 151 outcome events (deaths) were observed and four independent variables were incorporated into the final multivariate Cox model, EPV ratio was 37.75. This value was well above the recommended threshold of 10, indicating a low risk of model overfitting. Internal validation via 1,000 bootstrap resamples showed minimal performance decay between the training and validation cohorts, with optimism-corrected C-indices of 0.753 in the training cohort and 0.756 in the validation cohort. Calibration plots for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival showed excellent agreement between predicted and observed outcomes in the training group (Figure 3A). Calibration plots demonstrated strong agreement between predicted and observed survival probabilities at 1-, 3-, and 5-year time points, with curves closely following the ideal reference line in the validation group (Figure 3B). tROC analysis yielded area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values of 0.842, 0.813, and 0.795 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year predictions, respectively, consistently outperforming TNM staging (0.798, 0.761, and 0.742) in the training group (Figure 3C). tROC analysis yielded AUC values of 0.831, 0.802, and 0.785 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year predictions, respectively, consistently exceeding TNM staging performance (0.784, 0.753, and 0.731) in the validation group (Figure 3D). DCA confirmed higher net benefits across various threshold probabilities compared to TNM staging and default strategies in the training group (Figure 3E). DCA confirmed higher net benefits compared to TNM staging and default strategies across threshold probabilities from 10% to 80% in the validation group (Figure 3F).
Validation of the prognostic model in the split-sample cohort
The minimal degradation in performance metrics between training and validation cohorts confirms the nomogram’s internal reproducibility and clinical utility for personalized risk assessment in this specific patient population.
Discussion
Our study developed and validated a novel prognostic nomogram for young Asian American breast cancer patients that significantly outperformed the traditional TNM staging system. The nomogram incorporated four independent prognostic factors: T stage, N stage, molecular subtype, and surgical approach. This model demonstrated reasonable discrimination and calibration performance, with consistent superiority over TNM staging across multiple validation metrics.
The prognostic significance of tumor burden in our cohort aligns with established literature but provides specific risk quantification for young Asian American women. T stage showed a clear dose-response relationship with mortality, with hazard ratio increasing progressively from T2 (hazard ratio =1.778; 95% CI: 1.133–2.790) to T4 (hazard ratio =3.946; 95% CI: 1.786–8.715) (16,17). Similarly, lymph node involvement demonstrated a strong prognostic impact, with N2 disease carrying the highest risk (hazard ratio =4.968; 95% CI: 2.944–8.383), followed by N3 (hazard ratio =3.401; 95% CI: 1.723–6.712) and N1 (hazard ratio =1.878; 95% CI: 1.209–2.916) (18,19). These findings are consistent with previous studies in broader populations but highlight the pronounced impact of nodal burden in this specific demographic.
Tumor characteristics showed strong prognostic significance in our cohort. Histological analysis revealed 88.1% of young Asian American breast cancer patients had grades 2–3 tumors, consistent with previously reported rates (82.9–94%) in young women across broader populations (20-22), suggesting the biological aggressiveness of young-onset breast cancer transcends ethnic boundaries. Molecular subtype distribution showed 21.5% HER2-positive and 10.6% TNBC, mirroring previous studies of young breast cancer patients and indicating conserved biological drivers across ethnic groups (22-24). However, TNBC patients faced significantly worse outcomes (hazard ratio =2.640; 95% CI: 1.697–4.105) compared to other subtypes after multivariate adjustment, a concerning finding given the therapeutic challenges of this aggressive subtype.
Interestingly, our study revealed that age, while often considered a critical prognostic factor in breast cancer, did not emerge as an independent predictor of mortality in our multivariate analysis of young Asian American patients. Previous studies have consistently demonstrated that younger age at diagnosis is associated with worse outcomes in the general breast cancer population (25,26), with patients under 40 years exhibiting more aggressive disease features and poorer survival compared to older counterparts. However, our findings suggest that within the young age group (under 40 years), the specific age at diagnosis may not significantly modify risk once other clinicopathological factors are accounted for. This indicates that the prognostic impact of young age may operate primarily through its association with more aggressive tumor biology and advanced stage at presentation, rather than representing an independent risk factor itself within this demographic.
Several investigations have reported that young breast cancer patients with lower socioeconomic status (SES) generally experience worse outcomes, attributed to barriers in healthcare access, delayed diagnosis, and suboptimal treatment (27,28). In light of this context, regarding socioeconomic factors, a notable limitation is our reliance on county-level data as a proxy for individual SES. The absence of a significant survival association with county-level income does not inherently preclude a meaningful SES effect among young Asian American patients. Rather, the aggregate nature of SEER data fails to capture within-county socioeconomic heterogeneity, thereby potentially obscuring the true prognostic impact of individual-level SES. Future prospective studies incorporating granular, individual-level socioeconomic metrics are warranted to definitively elucidate this relationship. Similarly, marital status showed a significant association with survival in univariate analysis but lost statistical significance after multivariate adjustment, suggesting its effect may be mediated through other factors such as earlier detection, treatment compliance, or psychological well-being.
The association between surgical approach and survival outcomes warrants careful interpretation (29-32). Notably, our multivariable analysis indicated an apparent association between mastectomy and worse OS (hazard ratio =1.794; 95% CI: 1.147–2.808). However, it must be strongly emphasized that this finding reflects profound confounding by indication rather than a true causal relationship. In real-world clinical practice, patients who undergo mastectomy frequently present with a substantially higher baseline disease burden—such as larger tumor sizes, multifocal lesions, or specific contraindications to BCS. Consequently, the observed survival disparity is inherently driven by the more aggressive tumor biology necessitating the mastectomy, rather than the surgical modality itself.
Our parsimonious four-variable nomogram was developed through a systematic strategy: integrating significant variables (P<0.05) from univariate Cox regression into a multivariate analysis, followed by backward stepwise selection. Comprehensive model performance was evaluated in both the training and validation cohorts using tROC curves, calibration plots, and DCA. Furthermore, an adequate EPV ratio and 1,000 bootstrap resamplings were employed to prevent overfitting and verify internal stability. Consequently, our validated nomogram offers clinicians a practical tool for personalized risk assessment in young Asian American breast cancer patients, enabling informed prognostic discussions, tailored treatment decisions, and optimized follow-up strategies. Looking forward, future research should enhance this foundation by incorporating genomic signatures, immune parameters, and Asian-specific biomarkers, with prospective validation in contemporary cohorts receiving current standard treatments.
Despite its strengths, there are several limitations in our study. The registry-based retrospective nature of the SEER database analysis introduces potential selection bias and missing data issues. Information on specific systemic therapy regimens, treatment compliance, and recurrence patterns was not available, potentially limiting the comprehensiveness of our prognostic model. A potential limitation of our study is the exclusion of patients with missing data, most notably for molecular subtype (23.0%) and tumor grade (8.3%). We opted for complete-case analysis over multiple imputation because this missingness was considered not at random, which violates key imputation assumptions. Nevertheless, the remaining sample size (n=3,172) and a high EPV ratio (37.75) ensured robust statistical power and reliable model stability without the need for data imputation. Additionally, while focusing exclusively on Asian Americans addresses their historical underrepresentation, it precludes assessing the model’s performance in other ethnicities. Furthermore, stratifying our cohort of 3,172 patients (with only 151 total events) into multiple ethnic subgroups would severely fragment the data. This fragmentation would drastically compromise statistical power and lead to an inadequate EPV ratio, rendering any subgroup-specific analyses statistically unreliable and prone to overfitting. Finally, a notable limitation of this study is the lack of true external validation. Therefore, more studies utilizing external datasets are strictly required to verify the true generalizability and clinical utility of this prognostic model. In the future, evolving treatment paradigms, particularly in HER2-targeted therapy and immunotherapy, may influence the applicability of our findings to patients treated with the most current approaches.
Conclusions
Our study presents reasonable, internally validated prognostic nomogram specifically designed for young Asian American breast cancer patients. By integrating tumor characteristics, molecular subtypes, and treatment approaches, this tool moderately outperforms traditional TNM staging in predicting survival outcomes. The identified independent prognostic factors provide valuable insights into the unique risk profiles of this demographic group and highlight opportunities for tailored interventions. Implementation of this nomogram in clinical practice could facilitate more personalized treatment decisions and ultimately improve outcomes for young Asian American women with breast cancer. Although internally validated with favorable results, the true generalizability of this proposed nomogram must be confirmed through independent, external cohorts in future research.
Acknowledgments
None.
Footnote
Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the TRIPOD reporting checklist. Available at https://gs.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/gs-2026-1-0083/rc
Peer Review File: Available at https://gs.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/gs-2026-1-0083/prf
Funding: None.
Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://gs.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/gs-2026-1-0083/coif). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments.
Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
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