Correlation between ultrasound calcification patterns, and clinicopathological factors and recurrence risk in papillary thyroid carcinoma
Original Article

Correlation between ultrasound calcification patterns, and clinicopathological factors and recurrence risk in papillary thyroid carcinoma

Xiao-Nan Liu1, Yuan-Sheng Duan2,3, Yan-Sheng Wu2,3, Marianna Rita Brogna4, Maite Domínguez-Ayala5, Xu Di1, Xu-Dong Wang2,3

1Department of Thyroid and Breast Surgery, Tianjin Medical University 4th Center Hospital, Tianjin, China; 2Department of Maxillofacial & E.N.T. Oncology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin, China; 3Tianjin’s Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin, China; 4Pathology Unit, Istituto Nazionale Tumori-IRCCS-Fondazione G. Pascale, Naples, Italy; 5Endocrine Surgery Division, Department of General and Digestive Surgery, Organización Sanitaria Integrada (OSI) Bilbao-Basurto, Basurto University Hospital, Bilbao, Spain

Contributions: (I) Conception and design: XN Liu; (II) Administrative support: X Di, XD Wang; (III) Provision of study materials or patients: All authors; (IV) Collection and assembly of data: XN Liu, YS Duan, YS Wu; (V) Data analysis and interpretation: XN Liu, YS Wu; (VI) Manuscript writing: All authors; (VII) Final approval of manuscript: All authors.

Correspondence to: Xu Di, MD. Department of Thyroid and Breast Surgery, Tianjin Medical University 4th Center Hospital, No. 1 Zhongshan Road, Hebei District, Tianjin 300140, China. Email: dixu5188@163.com; Xu-Dong Wang, PhD. Department of Maxillofacial & E.N.T. Oncology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tiyuanbei Huanhu West Road, Hexi District, Tianjin 300060, China; Tianjin’s Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin, China. Email: wxd.1133@163.com.

Background: The incidence and mortality rates of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), particularly papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), continue to show a gradual increase worldwide. Despite advances in diagnostic imaging and molecular characterization, the role of specific ultrasound features, such as calcification patterns, in the diagnostic and prognostic stratification of PTC remains relatively underexplored and poorly characterized in the literature. This study aims to investigate the association between different ultrasound calcification patterns and key clinicopathological factors. Furthermore, we seek to evaluate the predictive value of these calcification patterns not only in improving preoperative risk stratification but also in estimating the risk of disease recurrence, with the goal of enhancing individualized management strategies for PTC patients.

Methods: The clinicopathological data of 1,182 PTC patients diagnosed at the Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital (from January 2020 to December 2021) were collected. According to the preoperative ultrasound calcification morphology within thyroid nodules, they were divided into non-calcified nodules​ and calcification nodules​, and a correlation analysis was conducted with the clinicopathological factors, hematological indicators, and recurrence risk.

Results: Calcifications were detected in 75.0% of the patient cohort, of which microcalcifications were the predominant subtype, and were observed in 63.3% of cases. Notably, the risk of tumor recurrence was significantly higher in the patients with the microcalcification type (χ2=69.009, P<0.001) than those with the non-calcified/mixed types. The logistic regression analysis further showed that the patients with microcalcifications had a 2.0-fold increased risk of the tumor diameter exceeding 1 cm, while those with mixed calcifications had a 3.1-fold increased risk of the tumor diameter exceeding 1 cm. Further, the patients with microcalcifications had a 1.6-fold increased risk of central lymph node metastasis and a 4.1-fold increased risk of lateral lymph node metastasis.

Conclusions: Our analysis revealed that ultrasound-detected calcification patterns are significantly associated with tumor aggressiveness and patient prognosis in PTC. Microcalcifications emerge as a strong and independent predictor of lymph node metastasis and disease recurrence risk. Mixed calcification patterns correlate more with the extent of primary tumor growth, possibly relating to larger tumor size. These findings highlight the clinical value of preoperative calcification pattern analysis, supporting its use as a non-invasive imaging biomarker for risk stratification and surgical decisions. We advocate integrating calcification pattern evaluation into standard PTC ultrasound reporting to improve treatment personalization and prediction of long-term outcomes.

Keywords: Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC); ultrasound calcification; clinicopathological factors; lymph node metastasis; recurrence risk


Submitted Jul 23, 2025. Accepted for publication Sep 08, 2025. Published online Sep 26, 2025.

doi: 10.21037/gs-2025-324


Highlight box

Key findings

• Of the papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients in this study, 75.0% had calcifications, of which microcalcifications were the most common (63.3%).

• Presence of thyroid nodule microcalcification was significantly correlated with an increased risk of tumor recurrence (χ2=69.009, P<0.001).

• Microcalcification resulted in a 2.0-fold increased risk of the tumor diameter exceeding 1 cm, a 1.6-fold increased risk of central lymph node metastasis, and a 4.1-fold increased risk of lateral lymph node metastasis.

• Mixed calcification resulted in a 3.1-fold increased risk of the tumor diameter exceeding 1 cm, suggesting a greater likelihood of primary lesion growth.

What is known, and what is new?

• The relevance of calcification patterns in the prognostic evaluation of differentiated thyroid cancer remains underexplored, and there is a lack of standardized clinical application guidelines.

• This study conducted a quantitative correlation analysis between microcalcification and lymph node metastasis, and found that mixed calcification was significantly correlated with the growth of the primary lesion.

What is the implication, and what should change now?

• Calcification patterns should be systematically integrated into preoperative risk stratification models for PTC, with the goal of guiding the extent of individualized lymph node dissection. In particular, the presence of microcalcifications should be recognized as a high-risk feature for recurrence and factored into postoperative surveillance strategies and adjuvant treatment planning. This approach may improve both surgical decision-making and long-term patient monitoring, leading to more personalized and effective management of PTC.


Introduction

Thyroid cancer represents the most common malignancy of the endocrine system (1,2). Recent global and national cancer statistics indicate a steady and concerning increase in both incidence and mortality rates associated with this disease. In 2022, approximately 821,200 new cases of thyroid cancer and 47,000 related deaths were reported worldwide. Thyroid cancer accounted for 4.1% of all newly diagnosed cancers (up from 3.0% in previous years) and 0.5% of all cancer-related death (up from 0.4%) (1).

The burden of disease is particularly notable in China, where 466,100 new thyroid cancer cases were documented in 2022, making it the third most frequently diagnosed malignancy in the country (3). Among the different histological subtypes, papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) remains the most prevalent, representing 80–90% of all thyroid cancer cases. While PTC generally has a favorable prognosis when diagnosed at an early stage, a subset of patients presents with locally advanced disease, aggressive behavior, and distant metastases, which significantly contribute to thyroid cancer-specific mortality (4). These clinical dichotomies highlight the urgent need for improved early diagnostic strategies and precise risk stratification tools to optimize therapeutic decisions and enhance patient outcomes.

The development of cell diagnostics, the new generation sequencing technology and the microRNA technology platform have enhanced the diagnostic capabilities of molecular detection for thyroid nodules (5-7). High-resolution ultrasonography (US) remains the cornerstone for the evaluation of thyroid nodules identified through palpation or routine screening. Among the various sonographic features, calcification patterns are gaining recognition for their diagnostic and prognostic relevance. Microcalcifications, in particular, are widely acknowledged as a classic ultrasonographic marker of PTC malignancy.

In addition, emerging evidence indicates that heterogeneous calcification morphologies and distribution patterns may correlate with more aggressive tumor behaviors, including larger tumor size, regional lymph node metastasis, and an increased risk of recurrence (8,9). However, current classification systems for thyroid calcification remain inconsistent, and there is a scarcity of studies that systematically explore the relationship between specific calcification subtypes and detailed clinicopathological features. Most prior research has focused primarily on isolated calcification types with limited attention to mixed or complex patterns, leaving the clinical significance of combined calcification morphologies and their spatial distribution poorly defined (10,11).

This knowledge gap has hindered the integration of calcification features into standardized preoperative risk assessment models for PTC.

To address these limitations, the present study aimed to investigate the association between different ultrasound calcification patterns—including absence of calcification, microcalcification, and mixed calcification and clinicopathological parameters, with a particular focus on recurrence risk in PTC. By establishing a standardized and reproducible calcification classification framework, and by analyzing a large retrospective patient cohort, we hypothesized that distinct calcification profiles could serve as independent predictors of tumor aggressiveness and prognosis, with potential implications for preoperative surgical planning and postoperative surveillance strategies. We present this article in accordance with the STROBE reporting checklist (available at https://gs.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/gs-2025-324/rc).


Methods

Patient population

A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinicopathological data of patients with thyroid cancer who were first diagnosed at the Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital between January 2020 and December 2021. The inclusion criteria were as follows: (I) having undergone an ultrasonic examination at our hospital; (II) with complete imaging data; and (III) patients who were postoperatively confirmed to have a PTC pathological type. Exclusion criteria included: (I) patients who underwent secondary or multiple surgeries; (II) with incomplete clinical and pathological data; (III) with benign or other histopathological nodule types; (IV) with history of head and neck radiotherapy; (V) those after radiofrequency ablation.

The baseline clinicopathological and hematological data of the patients were collected. Factors related to the primary tumor included tumor size, multifocality, capsular invasion, Hashimoto’s thyroiditis, and the pathological subtype. Lymph node features included the number of metastases, metastasis ratio, maximum diameter of lymph node metastases, and presence of the extra-nodal extension of lymph node metastasis. The recurrence risk assessment was based on the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) recurrence risk stratification criteria for thyroid cancer (12). This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital (No. bc2022100). The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments. Patient consent was waived due to the retrospective nature.

Instruments and methods

All patients underwent ultrasound examinations at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital using Philips iu22 and Philips HD11 color Doppler ultrasound diagnostic instruments (Philips Ultrasound, Fishers, USA). The scanning range included the thyroid area and neck lymph nodes in regions I–VII. The recorded information for the primary lesion included the location, size, number, echo, boundary, relationship with the capsule, aspect ratio, calcification, blood flow, and Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TI-RADS) classification. For lymph nodes, the recorded information included the region, size, shape, boundary, ratio of the long to short axis, internal echo, cystic changes, calcification, and other relevant features. Patients with cN0/cN1a stage underwent thyroid lobectomy or total thyroidectomy, as well as unilateral/bilateral central lymph node dissection. Patients whose preoperative puncture pathology confirmed the presence of lymph node metastasis on the side of the neck underwent total thyroidectomy as well as lateral cervical lymph node dissection.

Ultrasonographic calcification patterns

Based on the calcification morphology, the patients were classified into the following three groups: the no calcification group, the microcalcification group, and the mixed calcification group (Figure 1). Microcalcification was defined as strong echogenic foci ≤2 mm in size without posterior acoustic shadowing; macrocalcification was defined as strong echogenic structures >2 mm in size, usually accompanied by acoustic shadowing; while mixed calcification was defined as the coexistence of microcalcification and macrocalcification. When multiple nodules were present in the ultrasound images, the most suspicious positive nodule was analyzed.

Figure 1 Transverse ultrasound image of thyroid nodules. (A) No calcification; (B) microcalcification; (C) mixed calcification.

Statistical analysis

The statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 26.0. For the continuous variables, a one-way analysis of variance was used for the univariate analysis if the data followed a normal distribution, while the rank-sum test was used if the data did not follow a normal distribution. For the categorical variables, the Chi-squared test was used for the univariate analysis. For the binary variables, binary logistic regression was used for the multivariate analysis, and for the multicategory variables, unordered multicategory logistic regression was used for the multivariate analysis. Results were presented as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and statistical significance was defined as P<0.05.


Results

Basic data characteristics

A total of 1,182 patients with PTC who met the inclusion criteria were enrolled in the study (Figure 2). The clinicopathological data, pre-treatment blood test indicators, and pre-treatment ultrasonographic images of the patients were collected.

Figure 2 Flowchart of the inclusion and exclusion criteria for patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma in this study.

As detailed in Table 1, of the enrolled patients, 336 were male and 846 were female; the average age of the patients was 43.6 years (ranging from 18 to 74 years); and 984 patients (83.2%) were aged under 55 years. Additionally, the average tumor diameter was 1.10 cm; 721 patients (61.0%) had thyroid microcarcinomas; 469 (39.7%) had multifocal carcinomas; 518 (43.8%) had classical PTCs; 40 (3.4%) had extrathyroidal extension (involving fat or striated muscle); 265 (22.4%) had Hashimoto’s thyroiditis; 632 (53.5%) had central lymph node metastasis; 274 (23.2%) had lateral neck lymph node metastasis; 299 (25.3%) had extra-nodal extension of lymph node metastasis; 271 (22.9%) had more than 5 lymph nodes with metastasis; and according to the 2015 ATA risk stratification criteria for recurrence, 256 patients were at a high risk of recurrence.

Table 1

The clinicopathological characteristics of the enrolled patients

Characteristics Value
Age (years) 43.6±11.2
   <55 984 (83.2)
   ≥55 198 (16.8)
Sex
   Male 336 (28.4)
   Female 846 (71.6)
Tumor size (cm) 1.10±0.78
   ≤1 721 (61.0)
   >1 461 (39.0)
Multifocality 469 (39.7)
Pathological subtype
   CPTC 518 (43.8)
ETE 40 (3.4)
Coexistence of HT 265 (22.4)
CLNM 632 (53.5)
LLNM 274 (23.2)
Extranodal extension 299 (25.3)
Number of LNM ≥5 271 (22.9)
2015 ATA RSDR
   Low risk 657 (55.6)
   Intermediate risk 269 (22.8)
   High risk 256 (21.7)

Data are presented as mean ± SD or n (%). ATA, American Thyroid Association; CPTC, classical papillary thyroid carcinoma; CLNM, central lymph node metastasis; ETE, extrathyroidal extension; HT, Hashimoto’s thyroiditis; LLNM, lateral lymph node metastasis; LNM, lymph node metastasis; RSDR, risk of structural disease recurrence; SD, standard deviation.

The relationship between the calcification morphology of the primary lesion in thyroid cancer and clinicopathological factors

As Table 2 shows, microcalcification was the most common type of calcification. Of the patients, 748 (63.3%) had microcalcifications, 295 (25.0%) had no calcifications, and 139 (11.8%) had mixed calcifications. A correlation analysis was conducted between the calcification morphology and clinicopathological factors. Statistically significant differences were found among the groups in terms of gender, age, tumor size, multifocality, and extrathyroidal extension. Microcalcification was more common in patients aged less than 55 years, while mixed calcification was more common in the older patients. The proportion of capsular invasion was highest in the microcalcification group. The patients with mixed calcification had larger tumor diameters and a higher number of lesions. The patients with microcalcification had a higher risk of recurrence than those with no calcification or mixed calcification, and the difference was statistically significant.

Table 2

Univariate analysis of the relationship between calcification morphology in PTC and clinicopathological factors

Variables No calcification Microcalcification Mixed calcification χ2 P value
Sex 19.357 <0.001
   Male 56 (19.0) 229 (30.6) 51 (36.7)
   Female 239 (81.0) 519 (69.4) 88 (63.3)
Age (years) 38.997 <0.001
   <55 256 (86.8) 638 (85.3) 90 (64.7)
   ≥55 39 (13.2) 110 (14.7) 49 (35.3)
Tumor size (cm) 64.829 <0.001
   ≤1 236 (80.0) 421 (56.3) 64 (46.0)
   >1 59 (20.0) 327 (43.7) 75 (54.0)
Multifocality 15.276 <0.001
   Absent 206 (69.8) 431 (57.6) 76 (54.7)
   Present 89 (30.2) 317 (42.4) 63 (45.3)
Pathological subtype 0.662 0.96
   CPTC 125 (42.4) 332 (44.4) 61 (43.9)
   FV-PTV 164 (55.6) 400 (53.5) 76 (54.7)
   Variants 6 (2.0) 16 (2.1) 2 (1.4)
Minimal ETE 9.372 0.009
   Absent 28 (9.5) 37 (4.9) 5 (3.6)
   Present 267 (90.5) 711 (95.1) 134 (96.4)
HT 0.294 0.86
   Absent 226 (76.6) 584 (78.1) 107 (77.0)
   Present 69 (23.4) 164 (21.9) 32 (23.0)
CLNM 54.514 <0.001
   Absent 192 (65.1) 300 (40.1) 58 (41.7)
   Present 103 (34.9) 448 (59.9) 81 (58.3)
LLNM 68.310 <0.001
   Absent 278 (94.2) 526 (70.3) 104 (74.8)
   Present 17 (5.8) 222 (29.7) 35 (25.2)
ENE 32.749 <0.001
   Absent 257 (87.1) 524 (70.1) 102 (73.4)
   Present 38 (12.9) 224 (29.9) 37 (26.6)
Metastatic focus 50.246 <0.001
   ≤5 271 (91.9) 534 (71.4) 106 (76.3)
   >5 24 (8.1) 214 (28.6) 33 (23.7)
Soft-tissue invasion 15.554 <0.001
   Absent 292 (99.0) 695 (92.9) 129 (92.8)
   Present 3 (1.0) 53 (7.1) 10 (7.2)
MDMF (cm) 59.498 <0.001
   <0.2 220 (74.6) 365 (48.8) 71 (51.1)
   0.2–3.0 75 (25.4) 374 (50.0) 66 (47.5)
   >3.0 0 9 (1.2) 2 (1.4)
LNC 73.860 <0.001
   Absent 280 (94.9) 524 (70.1) 103 (74.1)
   Present 15 (5.1) 224 (29.9) 36 (25.9)
2015 ATA RSDR 69.009 <0.001
   Low risk 216 (73.2) 364 (48.7) 77 (55.4)
   Intermediate risk 61 (20.7) 181 (24.2) 27 (19.4)
   High risk 18 (6.1) 203 (27.1) 35 (25.2)

Data are presented as n (%). , tall cell; diffuse sclerosing; solid; Warthin-like; clear cell. ATA, American Thyroid Association; CLNM, central lymph node metastasis; CPTC, classical papillary thyroid carcinoma; ENE, extra-nodal extension; ETE, extrathyroidal extension; FV-PTC, follicular variant papillary thyroid carcinoma; HT, Hashimoto’s thyroiditis; LLNM, lateral lymph node metastasis; LNC, lymph node calcification; MDMF, maximum diameter of metastatic focus; PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; RSDR, risk of structural disease recurrence.

We also conducted a correlation analysis of the calcification morphology of the primary tumor and the characteristics of lymph node metastasis. Statistically significant differences were found in the characteristics of lymph node metastasis among the subgroups with different calcification patterns, including in terms of central lymph node metastasis (χ2=54.514, P<0.001), lateral lymph node metastasis (χ2=68.310, P<0.001), extracapsular spread of lymph nodes (χ2=32.749, P<0.001), the number of lymph node metastases (χ2=50.246, P<0.001), soft-tissue involvement (χ2=15.554, P<0.001), the maximum diameter of metastatic lymph nodes (χ2=59.498, P<0.001), and lymph node calcification (χ2=73.860, P<0.001). The patients with microcalcification had a higher number of lymph node metastases, larger metastatic lymph node diameters, and a higher proportion had lymph node extracapsular spread.

As set out in Table 3, the correlation between calcification morphology and hematological indicators was analyzed using the rank-sum test. The expression level of thyroglobulin was significantly higher in the mixed calcification group (19.90 µg/L) than in the microcalcification group (15.80 µg/L), which in turn had a higher expression level of thyroglobulin than in the non-calcification group (12.10 µg/L), and the difference was statistically significant (Z=18.522, P<0.001). The parathyroid hormone level was highest in the non-calcification group (4.30 pmol/L), followed by the mixed calcification group (4.15 pmol/L), and lowest in the microcalcification group (3.93 pmol/L), and the difference was statistically significant (Z=9.081, P=0.01). However, no statistically significant differences were observed among the groups in terms of the expression levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone, thyroglobulin antibodies, thyroid peroxidase antibodies, calcitonin, blood lipids, blood glucose, and other indicators.

Table 3

Univariate analysis of the relationship between calcification morphology in PTC and hematological indicators

Variables No calcification Microcalcification Mixed calcification Z P value
TSH (mIU/L) 2.00 (1.31, 2.83) 2.10 (1.40, 3.00) 1.98 (1.36, 2.85) 3.340 0.19
Tg (μg/L) 12.10 (5.44, 25.10) 15.80 (7.38, 37.8) 19.90 (7.30, 39.60) 18.522 <0.001
Anti-TG (IU/mL) 12.00 (10.00, 37.70) 12.30 (10.20, 37.1) 11.50 (10.40, 17.2) 1.857 0.40
Anti-TPO (IU/mL) 9.00 (9.00, 14.40) 9.00 (9.00, 15.60) 9.00 (9.00, 13.40) 1.239 0.54
PTH (pmol/L) 4.30 (3.42, 5.37) 3.93 (3.18, 4.91) 4.15 (3.28, 5.02) 9.081 0.01
Calcium (mmol/L) 2.32 (2.21, 2.40) 2.33 (2.21, 2.40) 2.33 (2.19, 2.41) 1.438 0.49
Phosphorus (mmol/L) 1.29 (1.11, 1.39) 1.30 (1.11, 1.39) 1.29 (1.07, 1.42) 0.228 0.89
CTN (ng/L) 0.50 (0.50, 1.30) 0.59 (0.50, 1.57) 0.62 (0.50, 1.62) 4.976 0.08
Glucose (mmol/L) 4.91 (4.26, 5.40) 4.84 (4.20, 5.33) 4.97 (4.23, 5.52) 4.140 0.13
TG (mmol/L) 1.29 (0.68, 2.06) 1.36 (0.67, 2.03) 1.52 (0.82, 1.99) 4.364 0.11
TC (mmol/L) 4.62 (3.40, 5.20) 4.50 (3.51, 5.09) 4.62 (3.51, 5.22) 2.066 0.36

Data are presented as median (p25, p75). Anti-TG, anti-thyroglobulin antibody; anti-TPO, anti-thyroid peroxidase antibody; CTN, calcitonin; p25, 25th percentile; p75, 75th percentile; PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; PTH, parathormone; TC, total cholesterol; TG, triglyceride; Tg, thyroglobulin; TSH, thyroid-stimulating hormone.

As detailed in Table 4, multinomial logistic regression analysis demonstrated significant gender-based differences in calcification patterns. Males had higher odds of microcalcifications (OR =1.457) and mixed calcifications (OR =2.174) compared to females. Tumors exhibiting microcalcifications showed 2.00-fold increased risk of exceeding 1 cm diameter, while mixed calcifications conferred a 3.10-fold risk elevation of the tumor diameter exceeding 1 cm. Microcalcifications were associated with increased central (OR =1.613) and lateral cervical (OR =4.082) lymph node metastasis risks. Mixed calcifications showed no significant association with central lymph node metastasis but increased lateral cervical metastasis risk (OR =2.841).

Table 4

Multivariate analysis of calcified morphology and clinicopathological factors in PTC

Variables B Std. error Wald Sig. Exp (B) 95% CI for Exp (B)
Lower boundary Upper boundary
Microcalcification
   Intercept 3.024 0.361 70.341 <0.001
   Tg (μg/L) 0.001 0.001 0.701 0.40 1.001 0.998 1.004
   PTH (pmol/L) 0.002 0.007 0.050 0.82 1.002 0.987 1.016
   Sex
    Male 0.376 0.180 4.382 0.04 1.457 1.024 2.072
    Female 0
   Age
    ≤55 years –0.242 0.212 1.302 0.25 0.785 0.519 1.189
    >55 years 0
   Multifocality
    0 –0.293 0.157 3.483 0.06 0.746 0.548 1.015
    1 0
   LLNM
    0 –1.405 0.299 22.120 <0.001 0.245 0.137 0.441
    1 0
   CLNM
    0 –0.478 0.171 7.823 0.005 0.620 0.443 0.867
    1 0
   ENE
    0 0.106 0.248 0.185 0.67 1.112 0.685 1.807
    1 0
   Tumor size
    1 cm –0.675 0.177 14.570 <0.001 0.509 0.360 0.720
    2 cm 0
Mixed calcification
   Intercept 1.995 0.438 20.739 <0.001
   Tg (μg/L) 0.002 0.002 0.927 0.34 1.002 0.998 1.005
   PTH (pmol/L) 0.001 0.015 0.001 0.97 1.001 0.971 1.031
   Sex
    Male 0.777 0.248 9.834 0.002 2.174 1.338 3.532
    Female 0
   Age
    ≤55 years –1.357 0.262 26.833 <0.001 0.257 0.154 0.430
    >55 years 0
   Multifocality
    0 –0.443 0.227 3.787 0.052 0.642 0.411 1.003
    1 0
   LLNM
    0 –1.043 0.377 7.644 0.006 0.352 0.168 0.738
    1 0
   CLNM
    0 –0.420 0.258 2.638 0.10 0.657 0.396 1.091
    1 0
   ENE
    0 0.222 0.339 0.432 0.51 1.249 0.643 2.426
    1 0
   Tumor size
    1 cm –1.143 0.246 21.514 <0.001 0.319 0.197 0.517
    2 cm 0

, This parameter is redundant, therefore set to zero. CI, confidence interval; CLNM, central lymph node metastasis; ENE, extra-nodal extension; LLNM, lateral lymph node metastasis; PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; PTH, parathormone; Sig., significance; Std. error, standard error; Tg, thyroglobulin.

As set out in Table 5, all three types of calcifications were observed in the classic subtype, follicular subtype, and tall-cell subtype, of which, microcalcification was the most prevalent. However, only microcalcification was observed in the Warthin-like subtype, solid subtype, and clear-cell subtype. The diffuse sclerosing subtype exhibited both microcalcification and mixed calcification.

Table 5

Analysis of calcification morphology in the pathological subtypes of PTC

Subtype No calcification Microcalcification Mixed calcification
CPTC 125 (24.1) 332 (64.0) 62 (11.9)
Follicular variant PTC 164 (25.7) 400 (62.6) 75 (11.7)
Warthin-like 4 (44.4) 5 (55.6) 0
Solid variant PTC 1 (20.0) 5 (80.0) 0
DSV 0 2 (66.7) 1 (33.3)
Clear cell 0 1 (100.0) 0
Tall-cell variant 1 (20.0) 3 (60.0) 1 (20.0)

Data are presented as n (%). CPTC, classical papillary thyroid carcinoma; DSV, diffuse sclerosing variant; PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma.


Discussion

The pathogenesis of calcifications in thyroid nodules is a complex process involving multiple biological mechanisms, including tissue necrosis, hemorrhage, chronic inflammation, and fibrosis. In the context of PTC, microcalcifications are frequently associated histologically with psammoma bodies—concentric laminated calcific deposits formed as a result of tumor cell degeneration via apoptotic or necrotic processes (13). These microcalcifications linked to psammoma bodies represent a highly specific, though not highly sensitive, marker of malignancy (14). They are often associated with increased tumor aggressiveness, higher rates of cervical lymph node metastasis, and elevated risk of recurrence (15). Their detection through thyroid US therefore constitutes an important diagnostic feature. Conversely, macrocalcifications and mixed calcification patterns may reflect a different tumor biology. Macrocalcifications typically arise from chronic dystrophic processes affecting larger, slower-growing nodules, whether benign or malignant. Emerging evidence suggests that heterogeneous or mixed calcification patterns may correlate with larger tumor volumes and more extensive local tissue invasion, although their predictive value for malignancy remains less well defined (9,16,17). Moreover, calcification patterns may also mirror characteristics of the tumor microenvironment, such as neoangiogenesis, fibrotic remodeling, and immune cell infiltration—factors increasingly recognized as critical determinants of tumor progression and treatment response (18). Given these considerations, a more detailed and standardized characterization of calcification morphologies could substantially improve preoperative risk stratification and help guide clinical decision-making in thyroid cancer management.

Previous research has demonstrated that the biological nature of thyroid nodules can give rise to distinct calcification morphologies, prompting numerous investigators to systematically examine the association between calcification patterns and specific nodule characteristics. Calcifications within thyroid nodules are typically classified based on size into two main categories: microcalcifications and macrocalcifications. According to the 2017 American College of Radiology (ACR) TI-RADS guidelines, microcalcifications are defined as punctate hyperechoic foci measuring ≤1 mm in maximum diameter (19). However, it is important to note that the threshold criteria for differentiating microcalcifications from macrocalcifications remain inconsistent across the literature, with cut-off values ranging from 1 to 2 mm depending on the specific study (20-22). This lack of uniformity in classification standards contributes to variability in study results and underlines the need for more standardized definitions to enable better comparison across clinical investigations.

In this study, hyperechoic foci ≤2 mm in diameter were classified as microcalcifications, while those >2 mm in diameter were classified as macrocalcifications, and coexisting forms of both were defined as mixed calcifications. Microcalcifications are recognized as a specific marker of PTC. In this study, the proportion of PTC patients with microcalcifications was 63.0%, while the proportion of PTC patients with mixed calcifications was 11.8%. Ha et al. (23) reported that among 354 PTC cases, 45.8% exhibited no calcifications, 11.9% displayed both macrocalcifications and microcalcifications, and 30.5% showed microcalcifications alone. Notably, their study defined microcalcifications as ≤1 mm in diameter, which differs from the criteria employed in this study.

This study found that the prevalence of calcifications was higher in male patients than in female patients, and the odds of male patients developing microcalcifications and mixed calcifications increased 1.5-fold and 2.2-fold, respectively. In patients aged <55 years, ​64.8% had microcalcifications, while 9.1%​had mixed calcifications. Conversely, in patients aged ≥55 years, the proportion of microcalcifications decreased to 55.5%, while the proportion of mixed calcifications increased to 24.7%.

This age-related shift in calcification patterns aligns with the findings reported by Ha et al. (23), who observed that patients with mixed calcifications were generally older, whereas those with no calcifications or only microcalcifications tended to be younger. Similarly, Sugitani et al. (24), in their active surveillance study on low-risk PTC, demonstrated that the extent and type of calcification were closely associated with both tumor size progression and patient age. These findings collectively underscore the potential role of calcification patterns as dynamic biomarkers, reflecting both tumor biology and host factors with possible implications for risk stratification and personalized management strategies in thyroid cancer.

Previous studies have reported that calcifications are associated with the invasive behavior of PTC (25,26). Our study demonstrated that microcalcifications were significantly correlated with aggressive tumor biology, particularly lymph node metastasis. Specifically, microcalcifications increased the risk of central lymph node metastasis by 1.6-fold and the risk of lateral cervical lymph node metastasis by 4.1-fold. In contrast, mixed calcifications showed a stronger association with increased tumor size. Microcalcifications were linked to a 2.0-fold higher risk of tumors larger than 1 cm, whereas mixed calcifications correlated with a 3.1-fold increased risk of larger tumors. These results indicate that calcification heterogeneity may reflect distinct underlying biological behaviors.

Furthermore, hematological correlations provided additional mechanistic insights. The stepwise increase in thyroglobulin levels from non-calcified to microcalcification and mixed calcification groups may indicate progressive tumor burden or altered thyroid follicular cell function. Conversely, the observed paradoxical decrease in parathyroid hormone levels across these groups suggests possible involvement of the parathyroid gland related to calcification processes or alterations in calcium metabolism.

Previous studies have suggested that the vast majority of cases with diffuse calcifications belong to the classic subtype of PTC. However, rare subtypes, such as the diffuse sclerosing variant and the hypercellular subtype, have also been reported to exhibit this feature (27,28). In our study, histological subtype analysis revealed intriguing patterns in the distribution of calcifications. While microcalcifications were commonly observed across all major PTC subtypes—including classic, follicular, and tall cell variants—their exclusive presence in rare histological variants (such as Warthin-like, solid, and clear cell subtypes) suggests that distinct, subtype-specific mechanisms may underlie calcification in these more aggressive forms. Furthermore, the diffuse sclerosing variant was characterized by a combination of microcalcifications and mixed calcification patterns, likely reflecting its dense fibroinflammatory stroma interspersed with scattered tumor foci, a hallmark feature of this aggressive histological entity.

The 2015 ATA risk stratification system for PTC is primarily based on postoperative pathological features and does not currently incorporate calcification patterns as prognostic factors (12). However, emerging evidence suggests their potential relevance. For example, Shen et al. (29) reported a significant association between calcification presence and intermediate-to-high recurrence risk in PTC, though their study did not perform a detailed analysis of calcification subtypes. In our study, we demonstrated that patients with microcalcifications exhibited a significantly higher recurrence risk compared to those with no calcification or mixed calcifications (χ2=69.009, P<0.001). These findings suggest that calcification morphology, particularly the presence of microcalcifications, may serve as an independent marker of poor prognosis. Clinicians may therefore consider integrating calcification-based risk assessment into preoperative evaluation and postoperative management strategies.

There are several limitations in this study. First, its retrospective design inherently limits the ability to establish causal relationships. Second, the analysis was conducted within a single-center cohort, which may introduce selection bias and limit the generalizability of the findings. Third, this study did not incorporate the original image data and pathological controls, which might affect the accuracy of the interpretation of the calcification features. Nevertheless, the large sample size, combined with a comprehensive multidimensional analysis of both clinical and hematological parameters, provides robust evidence supporting the prognostic value of calcification morphology in PTC.

Looking ahead, future prospective, multicenter studies incorporating molecular profiling, radiomics, and potentially artificial intelligence-based ultrasound feature analysis are warranted to validate and refine these findings. Such studies could help clarify the biological mechanisms driving the observed associations between calcification subtypes and tumor behavior.

In conclusion, our study establishes calcification morphology as an important determinant of tumor aggressiveness, lymph node metastasis risk, and even preoperative hematological profiles in PTC. These findings emphasize the need to incorporate calcification characteristics into risk stratification algorithms, with potential therapeutic and surveillance implications for patients with distinct calcification patterns. Ultimately, the integration of calcification features may help pave the way toward more personalized and biologically-informed management strategies in thyroid cancer care.


Conclusions

Our study highlights the clinical significance of ultrasound-detected calcification patterns in PTC. Specifically, microcalcifications were identified as strong predictors of tumor aggressiveness, lymph node metastasis, and increased recurrence risk, while mixed calcifications were more strongly associated with tumor size progression. Additionally, the observed correlations with hematological markers, such as thyroglobulin and parathyroid hormone levels, provide novel insights into the biological behavior of PTC with varying calcification morphologies.

These findings suggest that calcification patterns—currently overlooked in most risk stratification systems—could serve as valuable, non-invasive preoperative biomarkers for guiding both surgical planning (e.g., extent of lymph node dissection) and postoperative surveillance strategies.

Given the retrospective and single-center nature of our study, further prospective, multicenter trials integrating molecular and radiomics analyses are warranted to validate these results and explore the underlying pathophysiological mechanisms. Ultimately, integrating calcification morphology into future risk stratification algorithms could contribute to a more personalized and biologically-driven approach to the management of thyroid cancer patients.


Acknowledgments

None.


Footnote

Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the STROBE reporting checklist. Available at https://gs.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/gs-2025-324/rc

Data Sharing Statement: Available at https://gs.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/gs-2025-324/dss

Peer Review File: Available at https://gs.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/gs-2025-324/prf

Funding: This research was funded by the Tianjin Health Science and Technology Project (No. TJWJ2023QN048), and the Discipline Research Special Project of Tianjin Medical University (No. 2024XKNFM18).

Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://gs.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/gs-2025-324/coif). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital (No. bc2022100). The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments. Patient consent was waived due to the retrospective nature.

Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.


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Cite this article as: Liu XN, Duan YS, Wu YS, Brogna MR, Domínguez-Ayala M, Di X, Wang XD. Correlation between ultrasound calcification patterns, and clinicopathological factors and recurrence risk in papillary thyroid carcinoma. Gland Surg 2025;14(9):1821-1834. doi: 10.21037/gs-2025-324

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